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tv   Countdown to the Closing Bell  FOX Business  March 8, 2013 3:00pm-4:00pm EST

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uh, charles couldn't make it. his single miles card blacked him out here and here. he should have used... the capital one venture card. he's coming to us from home. hey fellas... hey baby, you want mama to iron your undies? nice tightie whities. i didn't know mrs. barkley made quilts. really? looks like a circus tent. is that the best you got? now if you put this, with this, you have a sailboat. what's in your wallet? ♪ liz: countdown to the countdown. treasuries take a beating at the dow hit another record. which side should you take? strategists are here to guide
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you. the hallmark of , one of the world names that will make you money now. he names for names. and drink up. consolation brands selling liquor in prison. the ceo talking with us about that. the countdown starts right now. the local. liz: good afternoon, everybody. i am liz claman. it is the last hour of trading. the dow jones industrials have risen to the fourth record high in a row. today, you can thank the february jobs report.
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monthly payrolls rose by 236,000 last month. that is more than the 165,000 expected and the unemployment rate fell from 7.9% to 7.7%. that is a four year low. stocks have given up some gains. for the week, the chips have risen about 2%. here is the s&p 500. it is actually not the s&p 500. trading about 1% off its all-time highs at 1565. the s&p 500 is up for the second week in a row. the nasdaq is on pace for its second weekly gain. moving higher by ten points. we have the rustle and that is moving higher by about six points. not a bad look there.
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let's look at financials. they came out after the bell. seventeen of the 18 major banks that have to take this test did pass. some by a long shot, some barely moving the bar. bank of america is the only one in the green right now. goldman sachs is moving lower by about two and a quarter percent. investors are concerned about the ability to withstand losses on trading and lending it the economy were to -- that is the point of the stress test. the fed calculation of the so-called tier one capital ratio was lower than what oldman had forecasted. same thing for jpmorgan chase. jpmorgan moving lower. morgan stanley, as well.
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the dow and s&p 500 are poised to close higher for the sixth day in a row. will the momentum carry over into next week? getting right to the floor show. let's get to doreen. what do you expect for monday after four wins in a row? >> i think every single day this week we have been up. i do not think that has happened in a very long time. i think the fed is the whole motivator behind all of this. as long as the fed is willing to be behind this economy, they are willing to ignore most of the gods as long as it is not really that bad. i would not fight this market. liz: we saw a real reaction and treasuries. tell me what you really thought of that sort of spending that we saw in yields versus what was
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going on with the marketeer. >> the trend is your friend in equities. i do not think you can fight that. i think it is also true in the bond market as well. the key theme is for the consumer while it deleveraged and that is a little lower, i think it has to be on everyone's radar from student loan debt to our loan debt to even mortgage debt. there is still a lot out there for consumers to deal with. i think a lot of this rally has to do with what the fed has done to stimulate the economy. liz: you do not fight that. it is really a working trade at this point. let's not ignore the dollar. all of you guys can jump in on this one. you have a dollar moving to pretty significant highs here. the euro could certainly not sustain any sort of strength
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against what is a bullish dollar moment right now. strong dollar, strong equities. we are able to see the two together. >> the only thing i think will derail this is if we see any type of mood with interest rates. i do not think we will see that. this market does not want to stop. things are on the right track. as long as you have the fed and you are going in the right direction, it seems like a homerun to be. liz: i have this letter. usually, the union guys are very supportive of a positive number like this. he specifically wrote in this number, let's not ignore the 750,000 jobs that the cbo, the congressional budget office, will be predicting or estimating for the year when the sequester continues that if the sequester
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continues. there are potential headwinds here. >> absolutely. these numbers do not reflect what the sequestration will actually do from a government standpoint. there is a real headwinds that this market has to deal with. like i said, you cannot fight this trend right now. the market does not want to go down. you have to be very cautious as we begin to move higher. >> it seems like we are playing catch up. we are kind of struggling. i think finishing on the highs that we did get us up to $92.5295. i think next week we will see that higher levels in crude oil. liz: it is so hard to trade group. you just never know. right now, you are calling 92. good to see all of you guys. have a great weekend.
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thank you. no one can deny that this job report shows some significance. some strong momentum. the unemployment rate falling to its lowest close since december 2008. this report divide the naysayers. it happened to spike the sequester. it happened to spike the snowstorm. even in light of a payroll tax hike, or at least the elimination. let's break it all down. gentleman, the question really is a great rotation really happening now? people felt very hard into treasuries. they were just trying to stampede over each other to try
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to get in there over the last year. >> imagine the opposite would have happened. that would say to beat there is money on the inside trying to get out. this acts like a market where there is money on the outside trying to get in. >> i have a hard time calling it the great rotation. the great sprinkle is really what is happening. the fed is pumping market everywhere. to say that people are actually physically getting out of bonds and moving to equity funds, i find that a little bit too cute. liz: stocks are yielding more than treasuries. you do not see this often. you saw it just shortly after the start of 2011. it started to happen. here we are, it yields 2.16. did you see what is happening.
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this is just obvious to me that you want to be in stocks at this point. >> i think over the long run it is true. i think that you know, i am not talking about what the market will do. the stock market doubled without flows going the right direction. there is still money on the outside of this. i think you do have a situation where people that if they are going to try to retire, they will try to find what they have to do. they will be forced into equities over the next several years. liz: the market came off its earlier highs pretty quickly this morning. george, that made me wonder, where people starting to think will the fed tightens sooner rather than later? the economy does look better. >> we are still thinking the fed will taper off towards the end of the year and really stay behind the curve. we have to be very careful. rising rates could start the
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growth in the economy. liz: do you think it stuns it if they start to telegraph that they will tighten it eventually. >> i think so. i think they will make sure the economy is strong enough to take the bulb that it will get. they go from being strongly aggressively positive to just being positive. liz: isn't there a message somewhere down in history? didn't they tighten rates and it actually was fine? it improved the situation there? >> the u.s. is a different economy. i will not compare us to an emerging-market. not yet. liz: okay. [ laughter ] >> in the equity markets, it is definitely a trendy market. we can chop up and down. two weeks ago we were rolling down to the blows it yields.
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we would rather kind of play the range. the fed is there to support you. liz: john, what do you like right now? >> i think healthcare is still reasonably attractive. it is not as cheap as it used to be. i like technology. u.s. corporations that this while using technology. i like energy. my way of siding with it is to buy the big energy companies. i think they are extremely attractive. liz: john, are you worried about housing? >> i worry a little bit about housing. you had five years of household information. markets are beginning to clear. i will just let that happen. liz: there is some opportunity. george, what do you like? in your opinion, is any point on the yield curve and opportunity?
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>> the way we have been characterizing it for quite some time is the long-term investor having enough cash to kind of world. it keeps instruments and you have your long-term allocation to credit and high yield. those are the areas that still pay enough yield. over time, we will see rates rise and drop at the same time. in the short term trading environment and maybe if we took ten-year treasuries back about 2.1, we would actually be buying here. liz: i feel like if you own the stock and you got the dividend, you feel like you own a little bit something more than you all here. both sides very valid. have a great weekend, gentlemen. thank you. forty-seven minutes before "the closing bell" rings. look outside right now.
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the snow was coming down all day long in new york city. it is slowing down a bit. still very cold out there. you can see the american flag waking in the wind. you know what they were of you guys up, a drink. i don't know anything about how to pronounce this stuff. they do have wine in a box. they have a lot of names under their umbrella. heating up business by heading south of the border. we are talking brazil. we have a fox business exclusive coming up. some good news to talk about. ♪ [ woman ] if you have the audacity to believe
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liz: usually when a company reports a quarterly loss, they may tax the loss. not today. jumping to new highs. even in light of what would be considered -- nicole: they have good news and bad news. the number of tags returned here in the u.s. that were prepared through h&r block were actually lower.
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that has dropped. there are delays with tax filing and tax returns. they have entered tax season. they are giving an outlook here. they have ways to deal with the unprecedented delays and competitive factors. there is a one-year chart. 9% to the up today. it goes all the way back to 2004-2005. back to you. liz: thank you, nicole. a buzz around beverage company consolation today. several brands of alcohol to brazil top distributed wind. they are not hooligans. we love our soccer fans here in the building.
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are there any deals lifting the companies spirits that are on the way? we have consolation brands ceo and president joining us on the phone. it really seems positioning yourself for massive sports event coming up. not just soccer, but the olympics coming up soon in 2016 beard how do you expect that that can be added to the bottom line by doing this deal now? >> we feel like there is a lot of opportunities down there in brazil. we have the olympics coming up. we have the world soccer cup coming up. we think there are a lot of opportunities for our periods in brazil. it is growing double-digit. liz: it seems to me, these are great opportunities.
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people get excited when their team wins. what are you doing? what is your marketing team doing? >> we are looking at all kinds of avenues to promote our key brand. we have some great ones that we will be selling in brazil. we have our canadian. we think they will be excited about these brands. liz: are they down there now or are they not as well known? >> they are not particularly well-known down there. we will get them down there in a much bigger way. brazil has the largest alcohol importer. we have a great partner that will do a great job for us down there.
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liz: crown imports. we have the department of justice out-of-the-way. how is that deal progressing. >> we are still in litigation. i cannot say too much about it. we did do a revised deal. we continue to work on getting that approved. liz: when you think that will happen? >> hard to say right now. the jobs numbers really surprised in a meaningful way to the upside. what matters to you when it comes to deciding whether you a higher? do you look at that labor group are very closely or do you look at what is happening in the markets? >> we make the decision based on what is going on in our business. if we are expanding and we need people, then we hire. if we do not, we don't.
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>> our influence is pretty stable at the current time. we do have openings. we are hiring. we definitely are not in the office that mode. it is pretty much business as usual for us. by the way, we are rolling through all the consolation brands that you have. i like naked grape beard i have never tried it but i like the name. we will do deals in brazil. we will do this around imports. we'll be able to do other things well because your stock has been up. 98% over the last year. >> we could care less what they are doing. liz: i like to hear that.
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i really do not like to hear ceos saying there is too much uncertainty. >> i think our view is we keep our nose to the grind did we run our business. we think we do it well. we are in a great business and a great industry. we have fantastic brands. there is nothing impeding us from being successful. even the so-called inside the beltway. liz: this is a great chart. it has been managed well. ceo of consolation brands. thank you so much for coming to talk with us. we appreciate it. >> thank you. liz: any time. we will watch it very closely. closing bell ringing in 36 minutes. it could be one of the biggest smash hit at the box office. making its big screen debut.
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early indications are the wizard will crush it. we want to take a look at dash casino royale, a war of world, king kong. we will break it down for you. which one do you think was the most successful and publicly traded studio from that? ♪
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should it interesting, one film following the yellow brick road in terms of the box office sales, box office sales is what everyone is looking for for the great and powerful, hitting theaters 75 years after the original wizard of oz. can oz shine at the box office like other remakes before it? let's bring in dennis kneale. we are looking at some other
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ones that have done well. dennis: cause the great and powerful premiere, hollywood hoping to be great and powerful for raise sagging box office, ticket sales down 15% this year, already the first two hundred million dollar flop in the jack and the giant slayer. hopes are high for this prequel to the 75-year-old film that could do $85 million in the u.s. even more overseas where it opened last night, 27 markets and another 19 cities today. this is technically a prequel, not a remake but let's look at the most successful remakes of all time. look at this. they all came out in 2005-2006. casino royale, war of the world that 590, king kong from the guy who did the lord of the rings trilogy, peter jackson, $550 million. we will see whether this will do
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well. overall, past week, disney stock up 50% and no one knows better how to turn a good blockbuster movie into billions of dollars and other revenue in the next few years, already at work on the avengers. liz: jessica lange was my favorite in the second thing kong. dennis: that was her debut film. i remember that. liz: was the best. dennis: you got away from the characters. even jack black -- liz: i wonder if we can keep showing that dinosaur scene because i can tell you my kids wanted to see that scene over and over again so much so we had to bet $17 on the dvd because it was so well done and so dramatic, where he fought off that dinosaur. the dinosaur goes over the
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cliff. dennis: you knew king kong was going to win that one. for kids dinosaurs are in vincible so it shows king kong can really kick some butt. liz: what is your prediction for oz this weekend? >> reviews are mixed on the other hand it came out when there are no other big films so they will hit that $85 million mark. liz: you take your daughter and i will take my son and we will compare notes. dennis: the flying monkeys are even scarier. liz: another great week on "countdown to the closing bell" as we heard from the biggest brightest names in business. >> silver and gold will react to what is happening with a u.s. economy's all the world
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economies. and what happens there, and that happens flip-flops and people have a long term view of the market. and an investor process as opposed to really churning trading mentality. people are going to be looking forward and seeing what happens when it gets above 2% level. that is when ben bernanke will hit the panic button. >> with the growing economy need robust water system. that is critically important. all of us need to be recognizing. last year in the u.s. we had an enormous amount of drought. we have structures that need to be repaired. liz: looks like four records for the dow in arose starting tuesday, wednesday, thursday, will be another when? you need to wait until the closing bell in 27 minutes. momentum continues to build in the markets. even the retail investor looks like it is coming back but you
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will be concerned when the smartest guys in a hedge fund world are not buying into the rally. charlie gasparino comes racing to the studio with the latest shatter, going so fast he can't get his microphone on. we're watching it all. stay tuned. he is coming up. investor. yeah, i'm a serious investor
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dennis: i and dennis kneale with your fox business brief. a great day for the bulls with the blue chips rising for their fourth straight day of record highs. the dow up 59 points, 14,389. on the flip side the bears are
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climbing at technology point the energy storage and power delivery company said it will restate two years of financial results because of errors in its revenue numbers. that likely will reduce the company's previously stated revenue and profit. the head of barkley's wealth and investment management, reportedly stepping down effective today, to pursue interests outside the firm according to dow jones the company will consider internal and external candidates. ceo thomas cowairis will take over. we continue "countdown to the closing bell" with liz claman. liz: fabulous. airline stocks are flying to new highs. back to nicole petallides who is more fabulous than i am. nicole: no way but i always wanted to do jaques like talking about what i was going to be doing. go there and get peanuts and
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little shots of vodka. let's look at what we are seeing. look how nicely put up these beautiful airline stocks for you. united airlines sales up, southwest, u.s. airway is called all of which have a paris today. many of which are hitting multi year highs. united and delta and jetblue hitting 62 week highs, a couple of factors go into play. obviously oil which has been favorable for the most part, obviously capacity, they have been full to capacity and have higher fares, that helps their margins and they are dealing with a snow storm, but that is something that is temporary and they are used to that but airlines that doing very nicely. liz: charlie gasparino came up with the new name for you. the money -- are you afraid to
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say it? it is so flattering. the extra money is what he calls you. nicole: very nice. we know where money honey came from. liz: super, there you go. >> going in front of the sensitivity committee in five minutes. liz: he is touchy, not sensitive. go with me, it has been quite a day for the dow, record highs on the s&p 500 and retail investors starting to wake up and get food, a little late. some hedge funds are not buying into a. should you be concerned about that? we are supposed to worry about hedge funds. >> concerned whether dan loeb and steve cohen are not making money, i am. i think the market is going much higher. that is my opinion. when you weigh the evidence
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unemployment is good but not great. that is one of the problems. long-term unemployment is pretty high, 14%, that is something but what is good about it is is showing modest improvement in unemployment, modest gdp improvement, that means the fed is not getting lower interest rates so i think the market, and who knows? hedge funds are the smartest guys in the room. he has not participated, and they think there's a bubble to be burst. trailing the dow. warren buffett has been doing it for a long time. is five your record is not so hot. in a recent sort of mini bull market on top of the bull market we have had since march of 2009 when they hit 6,000, probably heading to 15, there are a lot of hedge funds death -- hesitant to jump in so there's a
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dichotomy between the professional investor on one hand and the small investor and generally the small investor is the part of the investor that gets into these things wait and generally that is when it falls. adjust throwing that out. the smart money is not buying into it yet. maybe they will make a turn but my opinion is this. liz: retail investors are notoriously bad. mike san foley who used to be barons. >> he is right about that. and -- liz: counterintuitive. and with the momentum. >> in the 1990s i remember the tech boom, a lot of money got
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killed but made a lot of retail, stupid money got killed in the end and held on to the retail stocks and pushed the market off. liz: dow is 20,000? >> there was a guy -- liz: down 40,000. >> he wrote a book, down 30,000. liz: 30,000, the dow 40,000 in the name of david. >> a libertarian economists did dow 30,000. in the tech bloom, it never came through. i could use a good shot of 20. you have to look at it this way. where are you going to put your money? is the economy margin of the improving? liz: david elias wrote the book. >> the famous guy -- liz: i am not getting any help. >> i will say it this.
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is bad to predict. james madison. is bad for us to predict the markets. liz: we are not. >> i am throwing it out for people. we tell you stuff, you do what you want, do your analytics. i am telling you when you have zero% interest rate you have marginal growth, that is a recipe for the dow to go a lot higher. the banking system is better, europe is muddling through, smart money on the sidelines. we are not giving you a complete rosy scenario. there are a lot of reasons to buy this. liz: up 75, fourth record in a row. at some point we have got to come down. i don't care, minor correction with major whenever. right now it is the momentum trade. >> we don't want to sit here and promote the market. for me i am a pessimistic --
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liz: the great philosopher britney spears said it is what it is. >> my mother used to say that. liz: closing bell ringing in 15 minutes. the u.s. may not be the only game in town. european stocks have been rising. they're on fire rising to their best level in four years. the euro stock, to give europe a second look, which name? to give you some help scout international fund manager jim moffat with four docks despite the fear investment plus why he thinks japan is the real thing at least for now. she keeps you guessing. it's part of what you love about her. but your erectile dysfunction - you know, that could be a question of blood flow. cialis tadalafil for daily use helps you be ready anytime the moment's right. you can be more confident in your ability to be ready. and the same cialis is the only daily ed tablet approved to treat ed and symptoms of bph, like needing to go frequently or urgently.
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liz: for all you people wringing your hands and worried about europe, european stocks don't care. they climb the wall of worry beads, trading at the best level since 2008. can this last? dual rallies in the u.s. and europe especially since the euro zone economy, there sovereign debt crisis and issue. james moffett, chief international equity strategist joining us now from kansas city, missouri to share some fundamentals on the best places in europe. you are on a gutsy guy. you have to be because that is the mandate of your fund but how have you managed to continue to do well in light of pretty negative headlines depending which country we are talking about? >> most of the things we own our multinational so they are not exposed to the risk in just one country. that helps. and also stick to the quality companies, the ones that seem to be we think well-managed that have good balance sheets, it is
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amazing how valuable a good balance sheet is in tough times and these companies are in a good position. most of them gaining ground on the competition that is being hurt in this environment. liz: i like to ask how do you pick them? what is your strategy for picking stocks in region that might be a little touch and go? >> a top-down view of saying when do you want to be there? we think europe is in the position where the u.s. was a year or two ago when things looked like they were never going to get any better. but we think they will. liz: you talk about increasing earnings? you look at leadership for the quality of the company and what they make? >> we look at the quality, the
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leadership, and the things that are going to have improving earnings. it is not a simple one step answer, but basically trying to find the good companies is the strategy we have and in many ways good companies and some of the troubled country's that are exposed to more than their home country so they're in good shape. liz: that is a perfect segue to their first pick which is one of the troubled countries which is italy. why do you like this company? >> two reason. they do a great job, they added dominant player in the eyeglass frames, not the lenses that the framers. they are the worldwide leader and also 40% of their business in this country with sunglass hut and lens crafters, but they are a dominant player and they are not exposed just to italy,
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they are rocking even though their italian. liz: a beautiful 5-year chart as well. the parent is everywhere, we made a map so you could see where the spanish, very hot retailer has done so well in the u.s. because the price points are good and the style is good. >> an interesting article in the new york times a couple months ago on how their focus on urban environments, we don't have one in kansas city, not many in the midwest, and one large overgrown mall and that is not there. and the major shopping streets, and what part of new york you are in and whether you apply for park avenue or brooklyn, it makes a difference how they handle the retail. that is what they really good at, understanding their market,
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having the right merchandize their. base force most of it in north africa and eastern europe so that it is much more available. their competitors are still putting this on the boat in china when they are shipping it out to the stores. liz: they are fast and figured it out. thank you very much. we have it on the screen. great to see you. thank you for being here. >> pleasure. good to see you. >> scott investment chief international strategist, the fund is 7%. about 14% over the last year. closing bell ringing in five minute, gains of 70 points, things look good for the s&p too up 2% as well. this week's biggest winner is next. with the spark cash card from capital one... boris earns unlimited rewards for his small business. can i get the smith contract, ease?
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busy investing billions in the industry's boldest moves. it's biggest advances in technology. bringing our passengers the best, the most spacious fleet in the sky. and earning more awards than any other airline... to show for it. so rather than simply saluting history... we're out there making it.
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bob will retire when he's 153, which would be fine if bob were a vampire. but he's not. ♪ he's an architect with two kids and a mortgage. luckily, he found someone who gave him a fresh perspective on hisortfolio. and with some planning and effort, hopefully bob can retire at a more appropriate age. it's not rocket science. it's just common sense. from td ameritrade.

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